（讲不出再见）亚盘心理博弈③：意甲 布雷西亞 vs 博洛尼亞 2011年04月02日23:59
对阵：布雷西亚 VS 博洛尼亚 (3 - 1)盘口：0.75
类型：让球盘
推荐：布雷西亚
结果：全赢
参考：[欧赔] [亚盘] [大小] [往绩] http://bbs.1soccer.com/images/smilies/default/em69.gif
4 a* O/ R2 q- o- W N
% G$ p' i2 R% `0 K) e) p
这场球盘口从半球升盘到半一球，澳门升到了一球，很明显，是一场问题盘口，又是一场亚庄与闲家心理上的博弈。
ＳＢ 走地1.09半球0.810.85半球/一球1.06
立博 0.74半球/一球1.100.84半球/一球1.04
澳彩 1.04半球0.8201.13一球0.73
Interwetten(塞浦路斯)1.503.905.20
立博(英国)1.404.006.50
SNAI(意大利)2.053.203.50
1.334.256.00
威廉希尔(英国)2.103.103.75
1.573.756.00
从基本面上可以看到，主队有保级题材支持，客队理论上还有联盟杯资格赛的希望，但是像博洛尼亚这种球队板凳实力薄弱，一般是不会去争什么联盟杯门票的，免得双线作战最后啥都捞不着还影响联赛成绩。那么这场比赛就是主队保级拿分的比赛，博彩公司就是根据这个保级战来开盘开赔。往绩两队差不多，近态主队10轮只录的1胜5平4负的成绩，客队5胜3平2负，明显客队好，两队主客场得分能力对比差不多，实力不用说，肯定是客队强。那么基本面是客队占优，初盘主队能开出半球高水的让步算是对主队有支持力度，即时盘升盘为半一球，水位为中水，去实力和近态都较差的主队1比0只能赢半水位也不丰厚，对主胜的打出有阻力，澳门升为一球，去主队主队1球小胜都捞不着银子，阻力更大，博彩公司可能是诱主队，但是要诱一个近态和实力都低于对手的球队并不是那么容易，所以我认为看好主队取胜的可能更大。INT与立博的初赔就很低，加之意大利本土公司SNAI即时主胜赔为全球最低。所以跟着博彩公司的态度走，看好主队至少能拿下比赛。
推荐：主队布雷西亚让半/一球@85。
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http://bbs.1soccer.com/images/common/online_moderator.gif发表于 2011-04-02 16:10:42 | 只看该作者 http://bbs.1soccer.com/images/smilies/default/em73.gif
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☆ 怎么怎么地 回复：
跟着分析慢慢学习看盘。。
HOHO~~~~~~ 先顶后看 必须顶 必须顶 谢谢分享 :P 我也来顶一下.. 牛牛牛牛 必须顶 我也来顶一下..